Market Research System
PrototypeA prediction-market research system that connects market data, simulated execution, and a persistent decision record.
Self-initiated research softwarePrototype
The project
Built a data-to-simulation pipeline with order-book-aware fills, a decision ledger, and outcome analysis.
Our contribution
Context
Self-initiated research software
Prototype / 2026A TRACEABLE RESEARCH PROCESS
Workflow illustration
Inside the system
The project asks how a trading idea can be examined before committing real money. It connects public market information to signals, position-sizing rules, simulated fills, and a ledger.
The output preserves the path from an input to a decision, making each assumption available for review.
Inside the system
The simulation considers available order-book depth, partial fills, fees, and the difference between an observed price and an executable price. A separate resolution process connects earlier decisions to later outcomes.
The dashboard brings those records together so a strategy can be investigated rather than judged from an isolated win.
Project notes & credits
Research-system direction and development: Everest Egenhofer, with AI assistance.
Paper-trading research prototype using simulated execution; strategies remain hypotheses.